東京地方 天気予報
降水確率精度検証結果一覧表
表の見方と注意事項
グラフ 戻る
2012/01
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/39 | 0/57 | 0/11 | 0/3 | 1/2 | 1/3 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 33 | 67 | 100 | 75 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/18 | 0/4 | 1/1 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | | | | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 0/13 | 1/5 | 0/2 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 100 | | | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 0/15 | 1/4 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/7 | 0/10 | 0/6 | 3/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | | | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 0/12 | 2/6 | 1/5 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 33 | 20 | 50 | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/14 | 1/6 | 2/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 7 | 17 | 29 | | | | | | |
2012/02
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/31 | 0/46 | 0/11 | 2/10 | 1/1 | 2/4 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 3/5 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 100 | 50 | 33 | 100 | 60 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/14 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 1/1 | 4/5 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 100 | 33 | 100 | 80 | | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/12 | 2/4 | 1/2 | 3/5 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 50 | 50 | 60 | 100 | | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/6 | 0/8 | 2/5 | 2/3 | 3/5 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 40 | 67 | 60 | 0 | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 2/15 | 0/1 | 3/4 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 0 | 75 | 50 | | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 2/15 | 0/2 | 6/10 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 0 | 60 | | | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 2/15 | 1/5 | 5/8 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 13 | 20 | 63 | | | | | | |
2012/03
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/31 | 0/38 | 1/21 | 0/6 | 3/6 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 7/7 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 50 | 40 | 80 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 0/9 | 0/4 | 0/2 | 3/4 | 0/0 | 5/5 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75 | | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/8 | 0/4 | 1/6 | 3/3 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/8 | 0/4 | 3/8 | 0/0 | 1/1 | 5/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/7 | 1/5 | 2/8 | 2/2 | 5/5 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 20 | 25 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/9 | 1/8 | 3/8 | 4/4 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 0 | 13 | 38 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/8 | 1/9 | 6/12 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 13 | 11 | 50 | 100 | | | | | |
2012/04
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/19 | 0/43 | 2/22 | 1/12 | 1/3 | 2/4 | 4/7 | 2/3 | 5/5 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 50 | 57 | 67 | 100 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/10 | 1/5 | 1/4 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 10 | 20 | 25 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 1/7 | 1/8 | 1/4 | 3/3 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 14 | 13 | 25 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/4 | 0/5 | 1/8 | 1/5 | 6/6 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | 100 | | 100 | | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/9 | 3/8 | 1/6 | 5/5 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 38 | 17 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/9 | 2/9 | 2/7 | 4/4 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 11 | 22 | 29 | 100 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/7 | 1/10 | 4/9 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | | 14 | 10 | 44 | 100 | | | | | |
2012年合計
| | 実際の降水日数／予報日数 | 実際の降水日数割合（%） |
| 予報降水確率 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
| 1日前予報 | 0/120 | 0/184 | 3/65 | 3/31 | 6/12 | 7/16 | 11/18 | 11/12 | 18/21 | 5/5 | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 50 | 44 | 61 | 92 | 86 | 100 | |
| 2日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/18 | 1/51 | 2/14 | 3/10 | 8/9 | 6/7 | 8/8 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 30 | 89 | 86 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 3日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/20 | 1/40 | 4/21 | 3/14 | 12/14 | 9/9 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 3 | 19 | 21 | 86 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 4日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/20 | 0/36 | 4/21 | 6/19 | 9/11 | 3/4 | 9/9 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 0 | 19 | 32 | 82 | 75 | 100 | 100 | | |
| 5日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/15 | 2/41 | 4/20 | 9/25 | 10/13 | 6/6 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 77 | 100 | 100 | | | |
| 6日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/8 | 3/45 | 5/25 | 12/30 | 9/10 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 7 | 20 | 40 | 90 | 100 | | | | |
| 7日前予報 | 0/0 | 0/5 | 5/44 | 4/30 | 17/36 | 6/6 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | | 0 | 11 | 13 | 47 | 100 | | | | | |
降水確率的中率のグラフ
戻る
Last updated 2012/05/01
連絡先：tf2